Valid 122000Z – 131200Z
…NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST…
…SUMMARY…
Little or no thunderstorm potential is expected across the country
through tonight.
…Discussion…
No changes are required to the ongoing convective outlook.
..Goss.. 11/12/2019
.PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 1022 AM CST Tue Nov 12 2019/
…Synopsis…
A surface cold front will continue to move southeastward and off the
southeast Atlantic coast this afternoon, and then continue southward
across the central/southern FL Peninsula through early Wednesday.
Regional 12z soundings showed limited potential for warm sector
buoyancy this afternoon across north FL given rather modest
low-level moisture, and the stronger forcing for ascent will be
displaced well north of FL and largely offshore. While some shallow
convection may occur this afternoon along the front, the threat for
thunderstorms appears too low to warrant an outlook area.
Otherwise, midlevel ridging will prevail over CA/NV and the majority
of the CONUS will be dominated by a cold/dry continental polar air
mass.
$$