Valid 011630Z – 021200Z
…THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS…
A few severe thunderstorms will be possible across south Florida and
the Keys, with strong to damaging wind gusts as the main threat.
Similar to yesterday, a cluster of showers and thunderstorms over
the eastern Gulf of Mexico will track across south FL later today.
Abundant clouds and areas of precipitation are occurring across the
region, limiting destabilization and confidence in robust
updrafts/downdrafts. Vertical shear profiles are also only
marginally supportive of organization. Have opted to maintain the
ongoing risk areas with no changes, but confidence in severe storms
has decreased somewhat over south FL today (especially north of the
Keys). The primary risk period will be from 17-23z. Please refer
to MCD #72 for further short-term details.