Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 171200Z – 181200Z


Thunderstorms are expected across central Texas and toward the Red
River today into tonight. No severe weather is anticipated.

A shortwave trough now over California’s Central Valley will
progress steadily eastward today, reaching the mid and upper
Mississippi Valley by the end of the period. Ahead of this trough, a
surface low pressure system will deepen and eventually move out of
the central High Plains into the upper Midwest. Elevated
thunderstorm activity is possible within a weak warm advection
regime from the Big Bend into north-central Texas. Further
development is possible overnight Friday into Saturday morning along
a southeastward advancing cold front. Surface conditions ahead of
the front will remain relatively cool and storms will very likely be
elevated. With limited buoyancy available, severe thunderstorms are
not anticipated.

..Wendt.. 01/17/2020


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