Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 170100Z – 171200Z

…NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST…

…SUMMARY…
Severe thunderstorms are not expected tonight.

…Southern Plains…

Plume of deep subtropical moisture will continue to spread through
the Southern Plains tonight, downstream from a progressive
southern-stream shortwave trough near Baja that will reach the
southern High Plains late tonight. A strengthening southerly
low-level jet will maintain a broad corridor of isentropic ascent
and weak theta-e advection in post frontal zone across much of TX
and OK. Instability will remain very marginal in this region with
100-300 J/kg MUCAPE primarily in the 700-400 mb layer, but will be
sufficient for a few embedded thunderstorms within a more general
area of scattered showers.

..Dial.. 01/17/2020

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