Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 202000Z – 211200Z


Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.


No changes have been made to previous forecast as it still appears
thunderstorms are unlikely inland the remainder of the period.

..Dial.. 12/20/2019

.PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 1002 AM CST Fri Dec 20 2019/

A southern stream shortwave trough now over the TX Panhandle will
continue to move eastward over the Red River Valley through Tuesday
morning. Weak low-level warm advection to the immediate cool side
of a coastal front will support some elevated convection near the
middle TX coast. However, the depth of the convection is expected
to remain on the lower margins for charge separation and lightning
production. Otherwise, some shallow convection is also expected
across the FL Straits, but the threat for isolated thunderstorms
should remain south of FL in closer proximity to a stalled surface


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