Valid 061630Z – 071200Z
…NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST…
No severe thunderstorms are expected this period.
…Gulf Coast Region…
A strong and progressive shortwave trough over AR/LA will track
across the Gulf Coast states today, with an associated cluster of
showers and thunderstorms affecting parts of MS/AL/GA/FL. The
low-level air mass ahead of the convection is not particularly
unstable and low-level wind fields are weak. Therefore, storms are
expected to have limited intensity and pose little risk of severe
wind or hail.
A large upper trough is approaching the CA/OR coast, with the
initial band of precipitation moving ashore this morning. Cooling
temperatures aloft and persistent onshore flow will eventually pose
a risk of deep convection and a few lightning strikes later this
afternoon and tonight. Some small hail cannot be ruled out in the
stronger cores, but no severe weather is forecast.