Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 021200Z – 031200Z


A few isolated lightning strikes are possible across parts of
central California today. Elsewhere, the potential for thunderstorms
is below 10%.

A mid-level low is forecast to move eastward out of the central
Appalachians today before turning northeastward off of the
Mid-Atlantic coast by the end of the period. A surface cyclone will
move slowly east-northeastward from the southern New England coast
with an associated cold front moving through southern Florida by the
end of the afternoon. While a thunderstorm or two may occur along
the front, weak convergence along the boundary and minimal
upper-level support will keep coverage below 10%.

An upper-level trough off the West Coast will move southeastward
through the period. Embedded shortwave troughs will impact portions
of the central California coast. Isolated thunderstorm activity
within the Pacific moisture plume will be possible during the
morning and afternoon.

..Wendt.. 12/02/2019


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