Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 161300Z – 171200Z

…NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST…

…SUMMARY…
Severe thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or
tonight.

…Discussion…
A semi-amplified but mostly progressive large-scale flow pattern
exists across the CONUS. Within this regime, a southern-stream
closed low centered over eastern Georgia and northeast Florida this
morning is most relevant to thunderstorm potential as it continues
eastward today. While the surface warm/moist sector will remain
offshore, modest elevated instability will support some
thunderstorms into/near the coastal Carolinas today, although the
greater storm coverage/intensity will remain decidedly offshore
today and especially tonight.

Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected owing to the prevalence of
dry/stable conditions.

..Guyer/Mosier.. 11/16/2019

$$

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.