Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 132000Z – 141200Z

…NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST…

…SUMMARY…
Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS today.

…Discussion…
No changes are needed to the current outlook, as thunderstorms
remain unlikely across the CONUS.

..Goss.. 11/13/2019

.PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 1022 AM CST Wed Nov 13 2019/

…Synopsis…
A southern stream shortwave trough over northern Mexico will move
slowly eastward to south TX by tonight. Ascent preceding this wave
will occur atop a cold low-level air mass, with any substantial
low-level destabilization expected to remain offshore with a
modifying air mass. Forecast soundings show some possibility for
weak buoyancy rooted near 850 mb over south TX after 06-09z, but the
threat for elevated thunderstorms over south TX appears too marginal
to warrant an outlook area. Otherwise, some shallow convection is
expected along a weakening front near the southeast FL coast, but
thunderstorms are unlikely inland.

$$

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