Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 121200Z – 131200Z


Thunderstorm threat is low across the country today.


Sharp cold front will surge across the southeastern US later today
as dominant surface anticyclone settles into the Mid-South region by
13/00z. While frontal convergence will likely encourage shallow/weak
convection, the probability for updrafts attaining levels necessary
for generating lightning appears low. Pre-frontal buoyancy should
remain too meager for robust updrafts and thunder probabilities will
remain less than 10%.

..Darrow.. 11/12/2019


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