Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 121200Z – 131200Z

…NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST…

…SUMMARY…
Thunderstorm threat is low across the country today.

…Discussion…

Sharp cold front will surge across the southeastern US later today
as dominant surface anticyclone settles into the Mid-South region by
13/00z. While frontal convergence will likely encourage shallow/weak
convection, the probability for updrafts attaining levels necessary
for generating lightning appears low. Pre-frontal buoyancy should
remain too meager for robust updrafts and thunder probabilities will
remain less than 10%.

..Darrow.. 11/12/2019

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