Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 080100Z – 081200Z

…NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST…

…SUMMARY…
Severe storms are not expected across the U.S. mainland the rest of
tonight.

…Central Gulf Coast region…

Thunderstorms will continue developing this evening, primarily over
the southern portions of the Gulf Coast States along and south of a
southeastward-advancing cold front. A few pre-frontal discrete
storms persist from southern AL into the western FL Panhandle, and
some weak updraft rotation continues to be observed, supported by
35-40 kt effective bulk shear. However, flow in the lowest 3 km is
weak (at or below 20 kt) and the thermodynamic environment is very
marginal with weak lapse rates and MLCAPE less than 800 J/kg. This
activity should continue a general weakening trend this evening as
the surface layer stabilizes.

..Dial.. 11/08/2019

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