Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 060100Z – 061200Z

…NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST…

…SUMMARY…
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous U.S.
tonight.

…Discussion…
Isolated thunderstorms across the central FL peninsula are expected
to diminish within the next couple hours.

A strengthening low-level warm advection regime centered on the
Lower Red River Valley to Ozarks region should support a confined
corridor of elevated convection developing after 08Z. The strongest
updraft or two might produce small hail.

Across eastern AZ, southern NM, and Far West TX, persistent
warm/moist advection around 700 mb should contribute to weak
elevated buoyancy as a shortwave trough near Baja CA drifts slowly
east. Convective coverage should largely remain isolated and be
focused mainly after 08Z.

..Grams.. 11/06/2019

$$

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