Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 041630Z – 051200Z


Isolated thunderstorms may occur across portions of the southeastern

Another quiet convective weather day is forecast across the CONUS
today, with thunderstorm activity primarily restricted to the
southeastern portions of the nation. Scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms will be possible through the day over parts of the FL
peninsula, and into parts of AL/GA and the Carolinas tonight.
Overall this activity will be rather sparse in coverage.

Thunderstorms are still expected to affect parts of northern Mexico
today, but it appears that the risk of storms occurring north of the
Rio Grande is too low to warrant an outlook at this time.

Finally, increasing warm advection and lift will result in scattered
showers and possibly a lightning strike or two across parts of AR
later tonight. Given current model guidance, confidence in 10%
coverage of thunderstorms is too low to outlook at this time.

..Hart/Squitieri.. 11/04/2019


Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.