Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 111630Z – 121200Z


Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are expected from the
Gulf Coast to the Great Lakes and parts of Florida.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast to affect a broad
swath from the Gulf Coast region into the Great Lakes today and
tonight. Generally poor lapse rates, weak CAPE values, and limited
vertical shear will preclude the development of organized severe

One area with a chance of more vigorous convection will be from
central MS into western/middle TN, where stronger heating and ample
low-level moisture will be present. However, weak winds aloft
should keep storms below severe limits in this region as well.

..Hart/Cook.. 10/11/2019


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