Valid 281300Z – 291200Z
…THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NORTHEAST NM…
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible between 3 to 8 PM MDT
over northeast New Mexico.
Upper 50s to low 60s surface dew points are prevalent amid light
easterly winds. While low-level winds will largely become southerly,
a weak upslope component should be maintained into the Raton Mesa
and Sangre de Cristos through late afternoon. Early-day stratus
should dissipate with surface temperatures warming into the 80s by
peak heating. A belt of confluent mid-level northwesterlies from
20-30 kt at 500-mb could support a couple rotating updrafts off the
higher terrain capable of locally severe hail/wind.