Valid 260100Z – 261200Z
…NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST…
Isolated lightning flashes remain possible through tonight over
parts of the Southeast.
A front will remain nearly stationary over northern FL tonight,
where minimal instability exists. Most of the convection has
remained offshore, and this trend will likely persist tonight with a
cooling air mass over land. Weak convection remains possible
however, with a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE near the front. In addition,
shallow convection is expected south of the front tonight, and a
lightning flash cannot be ruled out.
Farther north, cooler temperatures aloft are aiding instability
levels despite less low-level moisture. An axis of 250 J/kg MLCAPE
currently stretches from GA into central SC, and may support
sporadic convective showers.