Valid 192000Z – 201200Z
…NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST…
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.
Previous forecast remains on track. No changes needed.
.PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 1016 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020/
…Gulf Coast from Texas to Louisiana…
Strengthening southwesterly winds atop a stable boundary layer will
contribute to moistening aloft and an increase and expansion of
convection tonight within the elevated baroclinic zone to the north
of the surface front over the northwest/north-central Gulf of
Mexico. Although a relatively low coverage/probability of
thunderstorms are expected, increasing forcing for ascent and a very
modest increase in elevated buoyancy could support isolated
thunderstorms across southeast Texas and southern Louisiana late
tonight/early Thursday morning.