Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Valid 161630Z – 171200Z

…NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST…

…SUMMARY…
Severe thunderstorms are not expected over the contiguous U.S.
through tonight.

…Gulf Coast/Southeast States…
A low-amplitude shortwave trough will undergo modest additional
amplification while otherwise steadily moving eastward over the
region. Related warm/moist advection and modest elevated buoyancy
will continue to support isolated thunderstorms from the
north-central Gulf of Mexico north-northeastward toward the middle
Gulf Coast/northern Florida. Additional heating and some increase in
convergence inland should also support the development of convection
this afternoon over additional parts of the Florida Peninsula.

..Guyer/Karstens.. 02/16/2020

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