Colorado Mesoscale Discussion

Areas affected…western Kansas and adjacent portion of southwestern

Concerning…Tornado Watch 616…

Valid 250139Z – 250345Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 616 continues.

SUMMARY…Severe risk is increasing at this time across Tornado
Watch 616 — including potential for an isolated tornado.

DISCUSSION…Latest radar loop shows a noted increase in convection
over the past hour across western Kansas, which is correlated with
the beginnings of an observed increase in low-level flow. As the
jet continues to strengthen this evening, and given the
moist/moderately unstable airmass in place across this region, a
continuation of this convective increase is expected.

While storms remain isolated, and continue to exhibit supercell
structures, an isolated tornado remains possible, along with locally
damaging winds and large hail. With time, wind risk is expected to
increase, as upscale growth of convection into an MCS continues to
appear likely.

..Goss.. 08/25/2019

…Please see for graphic product…


LAT…LON 40360193 40349914 39629786 38209804 37069835 37040202
37970214 39080225 40360193

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