Colorado Mesoscale Discussion

Areas affected…Portions of east-central Colorado and western

Concerning…Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613…615…

Valid 240208Z – 240415Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613, 615

SUMMARY…Marked downward trend in storm intensity in from
east-central Colorado to southwest Kansas in the last hour has
reduced overall severe threat. Localized strong gusts and isolated
marginally severe hail may still occur, but WW 613 and WW 615 will
be allowed to expire at 04Z.

DISCUSSION…Storms along the outflow boundary west of Dodge City,
KS have generally remained stationary with some tendency to move
southward into more buoyant air. The amount of convective
overturning that has occurred in southwestern Kansas will diminish
the overall severe threat. In east-central Colorado, the slow moving
cluster of storms has continued to move into more stable air behind
the outflow boundary. Trends in radar imagery has generally shown a
decrease in storm intensity as high reflectivity cores aloft have
diminished in the last half hour. A modest increase in the low-level
jet this evening may allow some of this activity to pose a
sporadic/localized threat for a strong wind gust or marginally
severe hail. Given the observational trends, WW 613 and WW 615 will
be allowed to expire at 04Z.

..Wendt.. 08/24/2019

…Please see for graphic product…


LAT…LON 37210133 38280301 38720353 39570369 39910313 39900233
39890205 38590019 37369995 37170017 37100076 37070112

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