Corrected for Discussion
Areas affected…Southern and Central High Plains
Concerning…Heavy rainfall…Flash flooding possible
Valid 232212Z – 240412Z
Summary…Thunderstorms developing off a trough in the lee of the
Colorado Rockies will continue to shift east down the high plains
toward an outflow boundary from earlier activity over western
Kansas. Enhancement from the outflow boundary raises a flash flood
risk over eastern Colorado and western Kansas this evening.
Discussion…A warm and humid airmass between current activity in
the high plains of CO and NM and an outflow boundary from earlier
activity over west-central KS will promote heavy thunderstorms
into the evening hours. PWATs are 1.5 standard deviations above
normal and SBCAPE is sufficient around 3000 J/Kg. Flash flood
guidance is 1 to 2 inches per hour which is possible as the
activity continues to develop into the evening hours.
Jackson
…Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…ABQ…AMA…BOU…CYS…DDC…GLD…PUB…
ATTN…RFC…ABRFC…MBRFC…
LAT…LON 41000383 40940299 40950259 40610229 40170206
39450162 38610110 38150072 37820047 37540028
37020023 36330063 35980238 36020312 36140430
36600424 36990356 37410357 38110373 38800407
39510419 40360442 40900462